Skip to main content

​
What Are Negrisk Markets?

Negrisk markets are a special kind of prediction market bundle where only one outcome can win. Think of them like a multiple-choice question — only one answer is correct.
Negrisk category market
Each outcome has a Yes and No orderbook, but here’s the twist: all the “No” contracts across the different outcomes are linked. This setup lets traders interact with bundles of outcomes more efficiently and powers a unique feature: share conversion.

​
Capital Efficiency

Traditional markets require you to open separate positions for each outcome. With Negrisk, you can:
  • Switch outcomes on the fly by converting No → Yes
  • Take broad positions (e.g., “I think it’s not A or B”) and refine later
  • Unlock USDC by converting extra No shares back into cash
This boosts capital efficiency — you do more with fewer trades and less capital tied up.

​
Powering Financial Dashboards

Negrisk markets unlock forward-looking data streams for real-world decisions:
DashboardExample
Price Feeds”According to Limitless, ETH will close the week at $2,150”
Interest Rate Forecasts”Markets expect the Fed to cut rates in July by 0.25bps”
Funding Round Forecasts”Anthropic’s post-money valuation will be $6.4B”
Portfolio Advice”Your portfolio’s risk-adjusted future is RED. Reduce BTC exposure.”
These dashboards aren’t just informational — they’re tradeable signals.