> ## Documentation Index
> Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.limitless.exchange/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

# Negrisk / Category Markets

> Multi-outcome markets where only one result can win

## What Are Negrisk Markets?

Negrisk markets are a special kind of prediction market bundle where **only one outcome can win**. Think of them like a multiple-choice question — only one answer is correct.

<Frame>
  <img src="https://mintcdn.com/limitless/gaXTVCMwDdFSClic/images/negrisk.png?fit=max&auto=format&n=gaXTVCMwDdFSClic&q=85&s=f0f7c8c563277c4bdd1a29753d159f18" alt="Negrisk category market" style={{maxWidth: "400px"}} width="742" height="540" data-path="images/negrisk.png" />
</Frame>

Each outcome has a Yes and No orderbook, but here's the twist: **all the "No" contracts across the different outcomes are linked**.

This setup lets traders interact with bundles of outcomes more efficiently and powers a unique feature: **[share conversion](/user-guide/converting-shares)**.

## Capital Efficiency

Traditional markets require you to open separate positions for each outcome. With Negrisk, you can:

* **Switch outcomes on the fly** by converting No → Yes
* **Take broad positions** (e.g., "I think it's *not* A or B") and refine later
* **Unlock USDC** by converting extra No shares back into cash

This boosts **capital efficiency** — you do more with fewer trades and less capital tied up.

## Powering Financial Dashboards

Negrisk markets unlock forward-looking data streams for real-world decisions:

| Dashboard                   | Example                                                              |
| --------------------------- | -------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| **Price Feeds**             | "According to Limitless, ETH will close the week at \$2,150"         |
| **Interest Rate Forecasts** | "Markets expect the Fed to cut rates in July by 0.25bps"             |
| **Funding Round Forecasts** | "Anthropic's post-money valuation will be \$6.4B"                    |
| **Portfolio Advice**        | "Your portfolio's risk-adjusted future is RED. Reduce BTC exposure." |

These dashboards aren't just informational — they're **tradeable signals**.
